What is Norfolk Southern Probability Of Bankruptcy? NSC | Macroaxis (2024)

NSCStockUSD254.873.151.25%

Norfolk Southern's probability of distress is under 9% at the present time. It has tiny risk of undergoing some form of financial distress in the near future. Chance Of Bankruptcy shows the probability of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Norfolk balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Norfolk Southern Piotroski F Score and Norfolk Southern Altman Z Score analysis.

For information on how to trade Norfolk Stock refer to our How to Trade Norfolk Stock guide.

Norfolk

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Short Term Coverage Ratios

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Probability Of Bankruptcy

Norfolk Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Norfolk Southern's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

2021202220232024 (projected)
Gross Profit5.0B5.5B6.1B4.4BTotal Revenue11.1B12.7B12.2B8.4B

Probability Of Bankruptcy

=

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Norfolk Southern Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 9%

Most of Norfolk Southern's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Norfolk Southern is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Norfolk Southern probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Norfolk Southern odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Norfolk Southern financial health.

Is Norfolk Southern's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Norfolk Southern. If investors know Norfolk will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Norfolk Southern listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.32)

Dividend Share

5.4

Earnings Share

8.03

Revenue Per Share

53.574

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.05)

The market value of Norfolk Southern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Norfolk that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Norfolk Southern's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Norfolk Southern's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Norfolk Southern's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Norfolk Southern's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Norfolk Southern's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Norfolk Southern is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Norfolk Southern's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Norfolk Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Norfolk Southern is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Norfolk Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Norfolk Southern's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Norfolk Southern's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Norfolk Southern's interrelated accounts and indicators.

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Click cells to compare fundamentals

The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Norfolk Southern has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 9.0%. This is 78.86% lower than that of the Ground Transportation sector and 78.21% lower than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 77.4% higher than that of the company.

Norfolk Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Norfolk Southern's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Norfolk Southern could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Norfolk Southern by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Norfolk Southern is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Norfolk Southern Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.07180.0530.07810.08410.04390.0419
Net Debt11.6B11.6B13.0B14.7B16.0B16.8B
Total Current Liabilities2.3B2.2B2.5B2.6B2.6B2.0B
Non Current Liabilities Total20.4B21.0B22.3B23.5B26.2B14.0B
Total Assets37.9B38.0B38.5B38.9B41.7B25.5B
Total Current Assets2.1B2.3B2.2B2.0B3.3B2.1B
Total Cash From Operating Activities3.9B3.6B4.3B4.2B3.2B2.3B

Norfolk Southern ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Norfolk Southern's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Norfolk Southern's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environment Score

Governance Score

Social Score

Norfolk Fundamentals

Return On Equity0.14
Return On Asset0.0634
Profit Margin0.15 %
Operating Margin0.61 %
Current Valuation73.58 B
Shares Outstanding225.89 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.06 %
Shares Owned By Institutions78.25 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.09 M
Price To Earning18.90 X
Price To Book4.50 X
Price To Sales4.74 X
Revenue12.16 B
Gross Profit6.16 B
EBITDA2.85 B
Net Income1.83 B
Cash And Equivalents456 M
Cash Per Share5.24 X
Total Debt17.57 B
Debt To Equity1.20 %
Current Ratio0.97 X
Book Value Per Share56.63 X
Cash Flow From Operations3.18 B
Short Ratio1.66 X
Earnings Per Share8.03 X
Price To Earnings To Growth6.21 X
Target Price260.43
Number Of Employees20.7 K
Beta1.3
Market Capitalization57.57 B
Total Asset41.65 B
Retained Earnings10.7 B
Working Capital639 M
Current Asset1.3 B
Current Liabilities1.85 B
Z Score2.86
Annual Yield0.02 %
Five Year Return1.76 %
Net Asset41.65 B
Last Dividend Paid5.4

About Norfolk Southern Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Norfolk Southern's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Norfolk Southern using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Norfolk Southern based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Norfolk Southern Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail transportation of raw materials, intermediate products, and finished goods in the United States. Norfolk Southern Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia. Norfolk Southern operates under Railroads classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 18100 people.

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When determining whether Norfolk Southern offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Norfolk Southern's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Norfolk Southern Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Norfolk Southern Stock:

Check out Norfolk Southern Piotroski F Score and Norfolk Southern Altman Z Score analysis.

For information on how to trade Norfolk Stock refer to our How to Trade Norfolk Stock guide.

You can also try the AI Investment Finder module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Norfolk Stock analysis

When running Norfolk Southern's price analysis, check to measure Norfolk Southern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Norfolk Southern is operating at the current time. Most of Norfolk Southern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Norfolk Southern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Norfolk Southern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Norfolk Southern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Is Norfolk Southern's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Norfolk Southern. If investors know Norfolk will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Norfolk Southern listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.32)

Dividend Share

5.4

Earnings Share

8.03

Revenue Per Share

53.574

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.05)

The market value of Norfolk Southern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Norfolk that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Norfolk Southern's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Norfolk Southern's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Norfolk Southern's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Norfolk Southern's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Norfolk Southern's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Norfolk Southern is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Norfolk Southern's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

What is Norfolk Southern Probability Of Bankruptcy? NSC | Macroaxis (2024)
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